Högre seminarium i vetenskapsfilosofi: Margherita Harris (SOCRATES Centre at Leibniz University)

Seminarium

Datum: torsdag 20 februari 2025

Tid: 13.15 – 15.00

Plats: D700

From Inductive Risk to Quantifauxcation

Abstract

Debates on the role of values in science have remained surprisingly disconnected from debates on the role of probability in inference—the so-called “statistics wars.” This talk bridges these debates by arguing that the uncritical acceptance of probabilism—the view that probability's role is to quantify degrees of belief or support—often leads philosophers to conflate value-based concerns with deeper epistemic issues.

Revisiting the Rudner–Jeffrey debate, I show how differing conceptions of probability shape the argument from inductive risk and why this matters for broader debates on values in science. I then introduce quantifauxation (Stark, 2021) and disguised quantifauxation to illustrate how probabilistic methods can obscure rather than clarify uncertainty. I conclude that distinguishing methodological concerns from value-based ones is essential for preserving the epistemic integrity of scientific inference.

Senast uppdaterad: 17 februari 2025

Sidansvarig: Department of Philosophy

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