Paul Mauritz GlantzResearcher
About me
I defended my thesis in 2002, which includes studies about aerosol-cloud interaction in the marine boundary layer based on in-situ aircraft measurements. Thereafter, I continued to investigate atmospheric aerosols based on satellite observations (see publication list). At present, however, the turn-over point of the aerosol era and corresponding reduced cooling effect, in addition to all times record in carbon dioxide in the atmosphere with the highest level within a period of 3 million of years, suggest that focus should be on the rapid warming observed globally. This mean also immediately actions to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases globally.
Why we more than ever need to rapidly reduce the emissions of greenhouse gases to save the climate
The indirect aerosol effect (cloud albedo effect) is associated with the largest uncertainties in radiative forcing among the climate drivers, presented in the latest IPCC report AR6. At present, human aerosols are masking greenhouse warming in Asia, particularly in Eastern China and India. AR6 gives a potential global mean negative radiative forcing of 1 W m-2, which means about 0,5 degrees potential masking effect of the atmospheric aerosols, although the estimate is associated with large uncertainty.
The global mean radiative forcing of the aerosols has been nearly unchanged after 1980, while the global mean net radiative forcing (positive) has increased substantially during the same period, particularly due to increases in anthropogenic carbon dioxide. During the same period anthropogenic aerosols have decreased substantially in Europe after 1980, which means that the aerosol’s masking effect on greenhouse warming is more or less history. This is also the case for other regions on Earth where aerosols have decreased substantially. In the Glantz et al. (2022) study we found that warming in Europe in the summer half year since 1980 is about double the increase in global mean temperature of 1,1 – 1,2, since the beginning of the industrial revolution. Our results are in line with WMO who found that the warming goes fastest in Europe among the continents. In addition, warming over global land areas is 1,6 degrees during the industrial era, which can be compared to 0,9 degrees over the oceans (IPCC, AR6).
Decreases in aerosols and consequently increases in solar radiation downward near the surface means amplification of the greenhouse effect, which in turn results in more energy absorbed by the Earth surface. In the Glantz et al. (2020) study we find that the land surfaces in Europe, particularly in the southern part and France, has dried out during the latest four decades. This results in a shift to sensible heat flux at the expense of latent heat flux, which in turn has led to additional warming of the lower atmosphere at the same time as evaporative cooling has been reduced.
The global warming results in more water vapour in the troposphere. The relative humidity has however decreased over land, which makes it harder to cross the vapor-liquid phase. The greenhouse effect caused by increases in water vapour is thus even more efficient today due to less amount of clouds presented. The latter means increases in solar radiation toward the surface. Together with an additional enhanced greenhouse effect, caused by higher levels of water vapour in the atmosphere, more energy is available at present day to warm up the lower atmosphere. The humidity paradox, increase in water vapour and decrease in relative humidity, is a result of increases in solar radiation and enhanced greenhouse effect, particularly by anthropogenic carbon dioxide. This has initiated the positive feedbacks described above that highly contribute to the extreme warming observed globally above land. Furthermore, many monthly global heat records were broken in 2023, particularly above land during autumn in the northern hemisphere. 2023 was 0.60°C warmer than the 1991-2020 average and 1.48°C warmer than the 1850-1900 pre-industrial level, which means close to the Paris agreement of 1.5°C. The end of La Niña and start of El Niño during this year have likely contributed to the temperature record in 2023.
Publications
A selection from Stockholm University publication database
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Unmasking the Effects of Aerosols on Greenhouse Warming Over Europe
2022. Paul Glantz (et al.). Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres 127 (22)
ArticleAerosol optical thickness (AOT) has decreased substantially in Europe in the summer half year (April–September) since 1980, with almost a 50% reduction in Central and Eastern Europe, according to Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2) reanalysis. At the same time, strong positive trends in ERA5 reanalysis surface solar radiation downward for all-sky and clear-sky conditions (SSRD and SSRDc, respectively) and temperature at 2 m are found for Europe in summer during the period 1979–2020. The GEBA observations show as well strong increases in SSRD during the latest four decades. Estimations of changes in SSRDc, using the Santa Barbara DISORT Atmospheric Radiative Transfer (SBDART) model, show similarly strong increases when fed by MERRA-2 AOT. The estimates of warming in this study, caused by increases in SSRD and SSRDc, are based on energy budget approximations and the Stefan Boltzmann law. The increases in near surface temperature, estimated both for clear-sky and all-sky conditions, are up to about 1°C for Central and Eastern Europe. The total warming over large parts of this region for clear-sky conditions is however nearly double the global mean temperature increase of 1.1°C, while somewhat less for all-sky conditions. The effects of aerosols on warming over the southerly Iberian Peninsula are weaker compared to countries further north. The rapid total warming over the Iberian Peninsula is probably caused by greenhouse warming, drier surface conditions, and to some degree decline in aerosols. Reduced cloud cover is found for large parts of Europe in summer during the latest four decades.
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10 myths about net zero targets and carbon offsetting, busted
2020. Alasdair Skelton (et al.). Climate Home News
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A Random Forest Approach to Estimate Daily Particulate Matter, Nitrogen Dioxide, and Ozone at Fine Spatial Resolution in Sweden
2020. Massimo Stafoggia (et al.). Atmosphere 11 (3)
ArticleAir pollution is one of the leading causes of mortality worldwide. An accurate assessment of its spatial and temporal distribution is mandatory to conduct epidemiological studies able to estimate long-term (e.g., annual) and short-term (e.g., daily) health effects. While spatiotemporal models for particulate matter (PM) have been developed in several countries, estimates of daily nitrogen dioxide (NO2) and ozone (O-3) concentrations at high spatial resolution are lacking, and no such models have been developed in Sweden. We collected data on daily air pollutant concentrations from routine monitoring networks over the period 2005-2016 and matched them with satellite data, dispersion models, meteorological parameters, and land-use variables. We developed a machine-learning approach, the random forest (RF), to estimate daily concentrations of PM10 (PM<10 microns), PM2.5 (PM<2.5 microns), PM2.5-10 (PM between 2.5 and 10 microns), NO2, and O-3 for each squared kilometer of Sweden over the period 2005-2016. Our models were able to describe between 64% (PM10) and 78% (O-3) of air pollutant variability in held-out observations, and between 37% (NO2) and 61% (O-3) in held-out monitors, with no major differences across years and seasons and better performance in larger cities such as Stockholm. These estimates will allow to investigate air pollution effects across the whole of Sweden, including suburban and rural areas, previously neglected by epidemiological investigations.
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Validation of MODIS C6.1 and MERRA-2 AOD Using AERONET Observations: A Comparative Study over Turkey
2020. Midyan Aldabash, Filiz Bektas Balcik, Paul Glantz. Atmosphere 11 (9)
ArticleThis study validated MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) of the National Aeronautics and Space Agency, USA, Aqua and Terra Collection 6.1, and MERRA-2 (Modern-ERA Retrospective Analysis for Research and Application) Version 2 of aerosol optical depth (AOD) at 550 nm against AERONET (Aerosol Robotic Network) ground-based sunphotometer observations over Turkey. AERONET AOD data were collected from three sites during the period between 2013 and 2017. Regression analysis showed that overall, seasonally and daily statistics of MODIS are better than MERRA-2 by the mean of coefficient of determination (R-2), mean absolute error (MAE), and relative root mean square deviation (RMSDrel). MODIS combined Terra/Aqua AOD and MERRA-2 AOD corresponding to morning and noon hours resulted in better results than individual sub datasets. A clear annual cycle in AOD was detected by the three platforms. However, overall, MODIS and MERRA-2 tend to overestimate and underestimate AOD, respectively, in comparison with AERONET. MODIS showed higher efficiency in detecting extreme events than MERRA-2. There was no clear relation found between the accuracy in MODIS/MERRA-2 AOD and surface relative humidity (RH).
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Surface ozone climatology of South Eastern Brazil and the impact of biomass burning events
2019. Admir Créso Targino (et al.). Journal of Environmental Management 252
ArticleIn the austral spring, biomass fires affect a vast area of South America each year. We combined in situ ozone (O-3) data, measured in the states of Sao Paulo and Parana, Brazil, in the period 2014-2017, with aerosol optical depth, co-pollutants (NOx, PM2.5 and PM10) and air backtrajectories to identify sources, transport and geographical patterns in the air pollution data. We applied cluster analysis to hourly O-3 data and split the investigation area of approximately 290,000 km(2) into five groups with similar features in terms of diurnal, weekly, monthly and seasonal O-3 concentrations. All groups presented a peak in September and October, associated with the fire activities and enhanced photochemistry. The highest mean O-3 concentrations were measured inland whilst, besides having lower concentrations, the coastal group was also associated with the smallest diurnal and seasonal variations. The latter was attributed to lower photochemical activity due to frequently occurring overcast weather situation. The mean annual regional contribution of O-3 over the area was 61 mu g/m(3), with large seasonal and intersite variabilities (from 35 to 84 mu g/m(3)). The long-range transport of smoke contributed with between 23 and 41% of the total O-3 during the pollution events. A pollution outbreak in September 2015 caused many-fold increases in O-3, PM2.5 and PM10 across the investigation area, which exceeded the World Health Organisation recommendations. We show that the regional transport of particulates and gas due to biomass burning overlays the local emissions in already highly polluted cities. Such an effect can outweigh local measures to curb anthropogenic air pollution in cities.
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Trends in MODIS and AERONET derived aerosol optical thickness over Northern Europe
2019. Paul Glantz (et al.). Tellus. Series B, Chemical and physical meteorology 71 (1)
ArticleLong-term Aqua and Terra MODIS (MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) Collections 5.1 and 6.1 (c051 and c061, respectively) aerosol data have been combined with AERONET (AERosol RObotic NETwork) ground-based sun photometer observations to examine trends in aerosol optical thickness (AOT, at 550nm) over Northern Europe for the months April to September. For the 1927 and 1559 daily coincident measurements that were obtained for c051 and c061, respectively, MODIS AOT varied by 86 and 90%, respectively, within the predicted uncertainty of one standard deviation of the retrieval over land (AOT = +/- 0.05 +/- 0.15<bold>AOT</bold>). For the coastal AERONET site Gustav Dalen Tower (GDT), Sweden, larger deviations were found for MODIS c051 and c061 (79% and 75%, respectively, within predicted uncertainty). The Baltic Sea provides substantially better statistical representation of AOT than the surrounding land areas and therefore favours the investigations of trends in AOT over the region. Negative trends of 1.5% and 1.2% per year in AOT, based on daily averaging, were found for the southwestern Baltic Sea from MODIS c051 and c061, respectively. This is in line with a decrease of 1.2% per year in AOT at the AERONET station Hamburg. For the western Gotland Basin area, Sweden, negative trends of 1.5%, 1.1% and 1.6% per year in AOT have been found for MODIS c051, MODIS c061 and AERONET GDT, respectively. The strongest trend of -1.8% per year in AOT was found for AERONET Belsk, Poland, which can be compared to -1.5% per day obtained from MODIS c051 over central Poland. The trends in MODIS and AERONET AOT are nearly all statistically significant at the 95% confidence level. The strongest aerosol sources are suggested to be located southwest, south and southeast of the investigation area, although the highest prevalence of pollution events is associated with air mass transport from southwest.
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Effect of Wind Speed on Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Aerosol Optical Depth over the North Pacific
2018. Lena Merkulova (et al.). Atmosphere 9 (2)
ArticleThe surface-wind speed influences on aerosol optical depth (AOD), derived from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Aqua daily observations over the central North Pacific during the period 2003-2016, have been investigated in this study. The cloud coverage is relatively low over the present investigation area compared to other marine areas, which favors AOD derived from passive remote sensing from space. In this study, we have combined MODIS AOD with 2 m wind speed (U-2m) on a satellite-pixel basis, which has been interpolated from National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) reanalysis. In addition, daily averaged AOD derived from Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) measurements in the free-troposphere at the Mauna Loa Observatory (3397 m above sea level), Hawaii, was subtracted from the MODIS column AOD values. The latter was to reduce the contribution of aerosols above the planetary boundary layer. This study shows relatively strong power-law relationships between MODIS mean AOD and surface-wind speed for marine background conditions in summer, fall and winter of the current period. However, previous established relationships between AOD and surface-wind speed deviate substantially. Even so, for similar marine conditions the present relationship agrees reasonable well with a power-law relationship derived for north-east Atlantic conditions. The present MODIS retrievals of AOD in the marine atmosphere agree reasonably well with ground-based remote sensing of AOD.
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Aviation effects on already-existing cirrus clouds
2016. Matthias Tesche (et al.). Nature Communications 7
ArticleDetermining the effects of the formation of contrails within natural cirrus clouds has proven to be challenging. Quantifying any such effects is necessary if we are to properly account for the influence of aviation on climate. Here we quantify the effect of aircraft on the optical thickness of already-existing cirrus clouds by matching actual aircraft flight tracks to satellite lidar measurements. We show that there is a systematic, statistically significant increase in normalized cirrus cloud optical thickness inside mid-latitude flight tracks compared with adjacent areas immediately outside the tracks.
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Spaceborne observations of low surface aerosol concentrations in the Stockholm region
2016. Matthias Tesche, Paul Glantz, Christer Johansson. Tellus. Series B, Chemical and physical meteorology 68
ArticleThis article investigates the feasibility of using spaceborne observations of aerosol optical thickness (AOT) derived with the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) for monitoring of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) in an environment of low aerosol loading. Previous studies of the AOT-to-PM2.5 relationship benefit from the large range of observed values. The Stockholm region features a comprehensive network of ground-based monitoring stations that generally show PM2.5 values <20 mu g m(-3). MODIS AOT at 555nm is usually <0.20 and in good agreement with ground-based sun photometer observations in this region. We use MODIS Collection 5 AOT data with a horizontal resolution of 10km x 10km and ground-based in-situ PM2.5 observations to derive an AOT-to-PM2.5 relationship that can be used to estimate fields of PM2.5. This has been carried out with respect to the months from April to September of the period 2000-2013. Relative average absolute deviations of 33-55 % (mean of 45 %) are obtained between MODIS-retrieved and ground-based PM2.5. The root mean square error is 0.2159 mu gm(-3) between retrieved and measured PM2.5. From spaceborne lidar observations, it is found that elevated aerosol layers are generally sparse in the Stockholm region. This favours remote sensing of PM2.5 from space. The deviations found between measured and retrieved PM2.5 are mainly attributed to infrequent situations of inhomogeneous aerosol layering for which column-integrated observations cannot be connected to surface conditions. Using MODIS Collection 6 data with a resolution of 3km x 3 km in a case study actually gives far fewer results than the coarser Collection 5 product. This is explained by the complex geography of the Stockholm region with a coastline and an abundance of lakes, which seems to induce biases in the retrieval of AOT at higher spatial resolution.
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A long-term satellite study of aerosol effects on convective clouds in Nordic background air
2014. M. K. Sporre (et al.). Atmospheric Chemistry And Physics 14 (4), 2203-2217
ArticleAerosol-cloud interactions constitute a major uncertainty in future climate predictions. This study combines 10 years of ground-based aerosol particle measurements from two Nordic background stations (Vavihill and Hyytiala) with MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) satellite data of convective clouds. The merged data are used to examine how aerosols affect cloud droplet sizes and precipitation from convective clouds over the Nordic countries. From the satellite scenes, vertical profiles of cloud droplet effective radius (r(e)) are created by plotting retrieved cloud top r(e) against cloud top temperature for the clouds in a given satellite scene. The profiles have been divided according to aerosol number concentrations but also meteorological reanalysis parameters from the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Forecasts). Furthermore, weather radar data from the BALTEX (Baltic Sea Experiment) and precipitation data from several ground-based meteorological measurement stations have been investigated to determine whether aerosols affect precipitation intensity and amount. Small r(e) throughout the entire cloud profiles is associated with high aerosol number concentrations at both stations. However, aerosol number concentrations seem to affect neither the cloud optical thickness nor the vertical extent of the clouds in this study. Cloud profiles with no or little precipitation have smaller droplets than those with more precipitation. Moreover, the amount of precipitation that reaches the ground is affected by meteorological conditions such as the vertical extent of the clouds, the atmospheric instability and the relative humidity in the lower atmosphere rather than the aerosol number concentration. However, lower precipitation rates are associated with higher aerosol number concentrations for clouds with similar vertical extent. The combination of these ground-based and remote-sensing datasets provides a unique long-term study of the effects of aerosols on convective clouds over the Nordic countries.
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Aerosol indirect effects on continental low-level clouds over Sweden and Finland
2014. M. K. Sporre (et al.). Atmospheric Chemistry And Physics 14 (22), 12167-12179
ArticleAerosol effects on low-level clouds over the Nordic Countries are investigated by combining in situ ground-based aerosol measurements with remote sensing data of clouds and precipitation. Ten years of number size distribution data from two aerosol measurement stations (Vavihill, Sweden and Hyytiala, Finland) provide aerosol number concentrations in the atmospheric boundary layer. This is combined with cloud satellite data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer and weather radar data from the Baltic Sea Experiment. Also, how the meteorological conditions affect the clouds is investigated using re-analysis data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. The cloud droplet effective radius is found to decrease when the aerosol number concentration increases, while the cloud optical thickness does not vary with boundary layer aerosol number concentrations. Furthermore, the aerosol-cloud interaction parameter (ACI), a measure of how the effective radius is influenced by the number concentration of cloud active particles, is found to be somewhere between 0.10 and 0.18 and the magnitude of the ACI is greatest when the number concentration of particles with a diameter larger than 130 nm is used. Lower precipitation intensity in the weather radar images is associated with higher aerosol number concentrations. In addition, at Hyytiala the particle number concentrations is generally higher for non-precipitating cases than for precipitating cases. The apparent absence of the first indirect effect of aerosols on low-level clouds over land raises questions regarding the magnitude of the indirect aerosol radiative forcing.
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Reconciling aerosol light extinction measurements from spaceborne lidar observations and in situ measurements in the Arctic
2014. Matthias Tesche (et al.). Atmospheric Chemistry And Physics 14 (15), 7869-7882
ArticleIn this study we investigate to what degree it is possible to reconcile continuously recorded particle light extinction coefficients derived from dry in situ measurements at Zeppelin station (78.92 degrees N, 11.85 degrees E; 475 m above sea level), Ny-lesund, Svalbard, that are recalculated to ambient relative humidity, as well as simultaneous ambient observations with the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) aboard the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations (CALIPSO) satellite. To our knowledge, this represents the first study that compares spaceborne lidar measurements to optical aerosol properties from short-term in situ observations (averaged over 5 h) on a case-by-case basis. Finding suitable comparison cases requires an elaborate screening and matching of the CALIOP data with respect to the location of Zeppelin station as well as the selection of temporal and spatial averaging intervals for both the ground-based and spaceborne observations. Reliable reconciliation of these data cannot be achieved with the closest-approach method, which is often used in matching CALIOP observations to those taken at ground sites. This is due to the transport pathways of the air parcels that were sampled. The use of trajectories allowed us to establish a connection between spaceborne and ground-based observations for 57 individual overpasses out of a total of 2018 that occurred in our region of interest around Svalbard (0 to 25 degrees E, 75 to 82 degrees N) in the considered year of 2008. Matches could only be established during winter and spring, since the low aerosol load during summer in connection with the strong solar background and the high occurrence rate of clouds strongly influences the performance and reliability of CALIOP observations. Extinction coefficients in the range of 2 to 130 Mm(-1) at 532 nm were found for successful matches with a difference of a factor of 1.47 (median value for a range from 0.26 to 11.2) between the findings of in situ and spaceborne observations (the latter being generally larger than the former). The remaining difference is likely to be due to the natural variability in aerosol concentration and ambient relative humidity, an insufficient representation of aerosol particle growth, or a misclassification of aerosol type (i.e., choice of lidar ratio) in the CALIPSO retrieval.
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Remote sensing of aerosols in the Arctic for an evaluation of global climate model simulations
2014. Paul Glantz (et al.). Journal of Geophysical Research - Atmospheres 119 (13), 8169-8188
ArticleIn this study Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) Aqua retrievals of aerosol optical thickness (AOT) at 555 nm are compared to Sun photometer measurements from Svalbard for a period of 9 years. For the 642 daily coincident measurements that were obtained, MODIS AOT generally varies within the predicted uncertainty of the retrieval over ocean (Delta AOT = +/- 0.03 +/- 0.05 . AOT). The results from the remote sensing have been used to examine the accuracy in estimates of aerosol optical properties in the Arctic, generated by global climate models and from in situ measurements at the Zeppelin station, Svalbard. AOT simulated with the Norwegian Earth System Model/Community Atmosphere Model version 4 Oslo global climate model does not reproduce the observed seasonal variability of the Arctic aerosol. The model overestimates clear-sky AOT by nearly a factor of 2 for the background summer season, while tending to underestimate the values in the spring season. Furthermore, large differences in all-sky AOT of up to 1 order of magnitude are found for the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 model ensemble for the spring and summer seasons. Large differences between satellite/ground-based remote sensing of AOT and AOT estimated from dry and humidified scattering coefficients are found for the subarctic marine boundary layer in summer.
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Climate-induced changes in sea salt aerosol number emissions: 1870 to 2100
2013. Hamish Struthers (et al.). JOURNAL OF GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH-ATMOSPHERES 118 (2), 670-682
ArticleGlobal climate model output is combined with an emission parameterization to estimate the change in the global and regional sea salt aerosol number emission from 1870 to 2100. Global average results suggest a general increase in sea salt aerosol number emission due to increasing surface wind speed. However, the emission changes are not uniform over the aerosol size spectrum due to an increase in sea surface temperature. From 1870 to 2100 the emission of coarse mode particles (dry diameter D-P > 655 nm) increase by approximately 10 % (global average), whereas no significant change in the emission of ultrafine mode aerosols (dry diameter D-p < 76 nm) was found over the same period. Significant regional differences in the number emission trends were also found. Based on CAM-Oslo global climate model output, no straight-forward relationship was found between the change in the number emissions and changes in the sea salt aerosol burden or optical thickness. This is attributed to a change in the simulated residence time of the sea salt aerosol. For the 21st century, a decrease in the residence time leads to a weaker sea salt aerosol-climate feedback that what would be inferred based on changes in number emissions alone. Finally, quantifying any potential impact on marine stratocumulus cloud microphysical and radiative properties due to changes in sea salt aerosol number emissions is likely to be complicated by commensurate changes in anthropogenic aerosol emissions and changes in meteorology.
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A study of the indirect aerosol effect on subarctic marine liquid low-level clouds using MODIS cloud data and ground-based aerosol measurements
2012. Moa K. Sporre (et al.). Atmospheric research 116, 56-66
ArticleCloud microphysics is substantially affected by aerosol loading and the resulting changes in the reflective properties of the clouds can significantly affect the global radiation budget. A study of how marine low-level clouds over Barents Sea and the northern parts of the Norwegian Sea are affected by air mass origin has been performed by combining ground-based aerosol measurements with satellite cloud retrievals. Aerosol number size distributions have been obtained from measurement stations in northern Finland, and a trajectory model has been used to estimate the movement of the air masses. To identify anthropogenic influences on the clouds, the dataset has been divided according to aerosol loading. The clean air masses arrived to the investigation area from the north and the polluted air masses arrived from the south. Satellite derived microphysical and optical cloud parameters from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) have then been analyzed for days when the trajectories coincided with marine low-level clouds over the investigated area. The cloud optical thickness (tau), cloud depth (H) and droplet number concentration (N-d) were significantly higher for the polluted days compared to the clean conditions, while the opposite was found for the cloud droplet effective radius (r(e)). The H and N-d were derived from the satellite retrievals of tau and r(e). Furthermore, calculations of the aerosol cloud interaction relationship (ACI), relating N-d to boundary layer aerosol concentrations, resulted in a value of 0.17, which is in line with previous remote sensing studies. The results demonstrate that ground-based aerosol measurements can be combined with satellite cloud observations to study the indirect aerosol effect, and that the microphysics of marine sub-polar clouds can be considerably affected by continental aerosols.
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Assessment of two aerosol optical thickness retrieval algorithms applied to modis aqua and terra measurements in Europe
2012. Paul Glantz, Matthias Tesche. Atmospheric measurement techniques 5 (7), 1727-1740
ArticleThe aim of the present study is to validate AOT (aerosol optical thickness) and Angstrom exponent (alpha), obtained from MODIS (MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) Aqua and Terra calibrated level 1 data (1 km horizontal resolution at ground) with the SAER (Satellite AErosol Retrieval) algorithm and with MODIS Collection 5 (c005) standard product retrievals (10 km horizontal resolution), against AERONET (AErosol RObotic NETwork) sun photometer observations over land surfaces in Europe. An inter-comparison of AOT at 0.469 nm obtained with the two algorithms has also been performed. The time periods investigated were chosen to enable a validation of the findings of the two algorithms for a maximal possible variation in sun elevation. The satellite retrievals were also performed with a significant variation in the satellite-viewing geometry, since Aqua and Terra passed the investigation area twice a day for several of the cases analyzed. The validation with AERONET shows that the AOT at 0.469 and 0.555 nm obtained with MODIS c005 is within the expected uncertainty of one standard deviation of the MODIS c005 retrievals (Delta AOT = +/- 0.05 +/- 0.15 center dot AOT). The AOT at 0.443 nm retrieved with SAER, but with a much finer spatial resolution, also agreed reasonably well with AERONET measurements. The majority of the SAER AOT values are within the MODIS c005 expected uncertainty range, although somewhat larger average absolute deviation occurs compared to the results obtained with the MODIS c005 algorithm. The discrepancy between AOT from SAER and AERONET is, however, substantially larger for the wavelength 488 nm. This means that the values are, to a larger extent, outside of the expected MODIS uncertainty range. In addition, both satellite retrieval algorithms are unable to estimate alpha accurately, although the MODIS c005 algorithm performs better. Based on the inter-comparison of the SAER and MODIS c005 algorithms, it was found that SAER on the whole is able to obtain results within the expected uncertainty range of MODIS Aqua and Terra observations.
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Volcanic ash over Scandinavia originating from the Grimsvotn eruptions in May 2011
2012. Matthias Tesche (et al.). Journal of Geophysical Research 117, D09201
ArticleA volcanic ash plume that originated from the eruptions of Iceland's Grimsvotn volcano in May 2011 was observed over the Nordic countries using a combination of satellite observations and ground-based measurements. The dispersion of the plume was investigated using London VAAC ash forecasts and MODIS observations. Hourly PM10 concentrations at air quality monitoring stations in the southern parts of Norway, Sweden, and Finland exceeded 100 mu g/m(3) for several hours. The FLEXPART dispersion model has been used to confirm the Icelandic origin of the sampled air masses. Column-integrated quantities from a Sun photometer and vertical profiles from a Raman lidar were used to estimate the ash concentration within an elevated layer over Stockholm. A lofted layer with an optical thickness of 0.3 at 532 nm passed Stockholm in the morning hours of 25 May 2011. Considering a realistic range of coarse-mode fractions and specific ash extinctions from the literature, an estimated range of maximum ash mass concentration of 150-340 mu g/m(3) was derived from the lidar measurements at an altitude of 2.8 km. The lower estimate of the lidar-derived ash mass concentrations within the planetary boundary layer was found to be in good agreement with surface observations of PM10.
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Estimating a relationship between aerosol optical thickness and surface wind speed over the ocean (vol 92, pg 58, 2009)
2011. Paul Glantz, E. D. Nilsson, W. von Hoyningen-Huene. Atmospheric research 101 (4), 956-956
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The effect of sea ice loss on sea salt aerosol concentrations and the = diative balance in the Arctic
2011. Hamish Struthers (et al.). ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS 11 (7), 3459-3477
ArticleUnderstanding Arctic climate change requires knowledge of both the external and the local drivers of Arctic climate as well as local feedbacks within the system. An Arctic feedback mechanism relating changes in sea ice extent to an alteration of the emission of sea salt aerosol and the consequent change in radiative balance is examined. A set of idealized climate model simulations were performed to quantify the radiative effects of changes in sea salt aerosol emissions induced by prescribed changes in sea ice extent. The model was forced using sea ice concentrations consistent with present day conditions and projections of sea ice extent for 2100. Sea salt aerosol emissions increase in response to a decrease in sea ice, the model results showing an annual average increase in number emission over the polar cap (70-90 degrees N) of 86 x 10(6) m(-2) s(-1) (mass emission increase of 23 mu g m(-2) s(-1)). This in turn leads to an increase in the natural aerosol optical depth of approximately 23%. In response to changes in aerosol optical depth, the natural component of the aerosol direct forcing over the Arctic polar cap is estimated to be between -0.2 and -0.4 W M(-2) for the summer months, which results in a negative feedback on the system. The model predicts that the change in first indirect aerosol effect (cloud albedo effect) is approximately a factor of ten greater than the change in direct aerosol forcing although this result is highly uncertain due to the crude representation of Arctic clouds and aerosol-cloud interactions in the model. This study shows that both the natural aerosol direct and first indirect effects are strongly dependent on the surface albedo, highlighting the strong coupling between sea ice, aerosols, Arctic clouds and their radiative effects.
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Satellite retrieved cloud optical thickness sensitive to surface wind speed in the subarctic marine boundary layer
2010. Paul Glantz. Environmental Research Letters 5 (3), 034002
ArticleThe optical and microphysical properties of low level marine clouds, presented over the Norwegian Sea and Barents Sea, have been investigated for the period 2000-2006. The air masses were transported for more or less seven days over the warmer North Atlantic before they arrived at the area investigated. The main focus in this study is on investigating the relationship between cloud optical thickness (COT) and surface wind speed (U-10 m) using satellite retrievals in combination with operational meteorological data. A relatively strong correlation (R-2 = 0.97) is obtained for wind speeds up to 12 m s(-1), in air masses that were probably to a major degree influenced by wind shears and to a minor degree by buoyancy. The relationship (U-2.5) is also in between those most commonly found in the literature for water vapor (similar to U-1) and sea salt (similar to U-3.4). The present results highlight the magnitude of marine sea-spray influence on COT and their global climatic importance.
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Estimating PM2.5 over southern Sweden using space-borne optical measurements
2009. Paul Glantz (et al.). Atmospheric Environment 43 (36), 5838-5846
Articlein the present study Bremen aerosol retrieval (BAER) columnar aerosol optical thickness (ACT) data, according to moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) and medium resolution imaging sensor (MERIS) level 1 calibrated satellite data, have been compared with ACT data obtained with the MODIS and MERIS retrieval algorithms (NASA and ESA, respectively) and by AErosol Robotic NETwork (AERONET). Relatively good agreement is found between these different instruments and algorithms. The R-2 and relative RMSD were 0.86 and 31% for MODIS when comparing with AERONET and 0.92 and 21% for MERIS. The aerosols investigated were influenced by low relative humidity. During this period, a relatively large range of aerosol loadings were detected; from continental background aerosol to particles emitted from agricultural fires. In this study, empirical relationships between BAER columnar AOT and ground-measured PM2.5 have been estimated. Linear relationships, with R-2 values of 0.58 and 0.59, were obtained according to MERIS and MODIS data, respectively. The slopes of the regression of ACT versus PM2.5 are lower than previous studies, but this could easily be explained by considering the effect of hygroscopic growth. The present AOT-PM2.5 relationship has been applied on MERIS full resolution data over the urban area of Stockholm and the results have been compared with particle mass concentrations from dispersion model calculations. it seems that the satellite data with the 300 m resolution can resolve the expected increased concentrations due to emissions along the main highways close to the city. Significant uncertainties in the spatial distribution of PM2.5 across land/ocean boundaries were particularly evident when analyzing the high resolution satellite data.
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Estimating a relationship between aerosol optical thickness and surface wind speed over the ocean
2009. Paul Glantz, E.D. Nilsson, W. von Hoyningen-Huene. Atmospheric research 92 (1), 58-68
ArticleRetrieved aerosol optical thickness (ACT) based on data obtained by the Sea-viewing Wide Field Sensor (SeaWiFS) is combined with surface wind speed, obtained at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), over the North Pacific for September 2001. In this study a cloud-screening approach is introduced in an attempt to exclude pixels partly or fully covered by clouds. The relatively broad swath width through which the nadir-viewing SeaWiFS scanned over the North Pacific means that the ACT can be estimated according to a relatively large range of wind speeds for each of the scenes analyzed. The sensitivity in AOT due to sea salt and hygroscopic growth of the marine aerosols was also investigated. The validation approach is based on previous parameterization in combination with the environmental quantities wind speed, RH and boundary layer height (BLH), estimated at the ECMWF. In this study a factor of 2 higher AOT is obtained between the highest wind speed (12 m s(-1)) and the lowest wind speed range (0-4 m s(-1)) for September 2001 over remote ocean areas. This is supported by the validation of the results. The enhancement in AOT is explained by a combination of hygroscopic growth of the marine aerosols (similar to 40%) and an increase in the sea salt particle mass concentrations (similar to 60%), caused by a wind-driven water vapor and sea salt flux respectively. Reasonable agreement (within 1 to 52%) occurs also between satellite-retrieved aerosol optical thickness and AOT observed at two AERONET (AErosol RObotic NETwork) ground-based remote sensing stations. The overall variability is also observed by this comparison. Finally, possible reasons why relatively large standard deviations occur around the mean values of AOT, when all data is taken into consideration in the analyses for September 2001, are discussed.
Show all publications by Paul Mauritz Glantz at Stockholm University